Learn more about Hart Energy Conferences
Get our latest conference schedules, updates and insights straight to your inbox.
Oil prices fell about 2% to a two-week low on April 19 despite a sharp decline in U.S. crude inventories, as the U.S. dollar strengthened on fears that looming U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate hikes could curb energy demand in the world's top consumer.
A stronger dollar can hurt global demand for oil by making it more expensive in other countries, and investors were also discouraged by uneven economic data in China, the world's biggest crude importer.
Brent futures fell $1.45, or 1.7%, to $83.32/bbl by 11:46 a.m. EDT. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude fell $1.47, or 1.8%, to $79.39.
WTI and Brent were headed for their lowest closes since March 31, erasing all price gains since the surprise oil output cut announced on April 2 by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia and other allies in the OPEC+ group.
"The crude benchmarks are posting ... lows this morning in response to a strengthening in the U.S. dollar that is, in turn, weighing on risky assets following some hot inflation data out of Europe," analysts at energy consulting firm Ritterbusch and Associates told customers in a note.
"We still believe that the market has been too focused on the supply side of the global oil equation following the OPEC output cuts and that world oil demand is significantly weaker than widely perceived," the note said.
U.S. crude stockpiles fell by 4.6 MMbbl last week to a 10-week low, according to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA).
That is a much bigger withdrawal than the 1.1-MMbbl decline analysts forecast in a Reuters poll and the 2.7-MMbbl decline reported by the American Petroleum Institute late April 18.
In China, stock markets closed lower due to uneven first-quarter data indicating a bumpy economic recovery after the country dropped its strict zero-COVID policy.
Global stock markets also fell, while a rally in the U.S. dollar gained momentum, as investors focused on possible Fed rate hikes to tame inflation, rather than on hopes it would ease up to reassure investors about the U.S. banking sector.
The Fed is likely to have one more interest rate rise in store, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said on April 18.
Markets are pricing in an 86% chance of the Fed raising rates by 25 basis points in May.
In Europe, European Central Bank officials remained wary of inflation and have suggested further rate hikes also.
2023-12-14 - Kelcy Warren, executive chairman at Energy Transfer expresses gratitude towards other Hart Energy Hall of Fame honorees and gives his advice on the energy industry, in this Hart Energy LIVE Exclusive interview.
2023-12-22 - Ken Waits, CEO of Mewbourne Oil Co., says the energy transition is really an energy addition that will require renewables to power the world alongside other forms of energy, including oil and gas.
2023-12-27 - Talos Energy CEO Tim Duncan discusses the courage and commitment of the past that can power oil, gas and low-carbon efforts for the decades to come.
2023-12-29 - Lapis Energy CEO Reg Manhas says the oil and gas sector’s expertise will provide the world with energy while leading the next phase of the energy transition.
2023-12-13 - Hart Energy's hall of famer Harold Hamm encourages those pursuing the energy industry and highlights the future of the global energy transition in this Hart Energy LIVE Exclusive interview.