The U.S. shale-gas plays are “criminally destructive,” says Bob Sinnott, president and chief executive of private-equity firm Kayne Anderson Capital Advisors. The Los Angeles-based firm has some $10 billion under management in energy infrastructure as well as oil and gas.
“I believe the (gas) shale plays are criminally destructive,” Sinnott told Oil Council meeting attendees in New York recently. “They are throwing so much gas into the market that gas prices are now $3.65. (A fellow presenter’s slides) show the rate of return for the shale plays assumes $6 gas.
“It isn’t $6. It’s $3.65, and no one is making a dry-gas profit at that.”
An E&P operator was in his office recently. “He said their F&D cost for their next shale well was 98 cents, but their full-cycle economics was $3.80. So, I said, ‘At $3.80, you’re getting $3.65. Are you making any money?’ And he says, ‘I never thought of it that way.’”
That is the mindset today. Instead, “we should be curtailing. We should be limiting gas supply. We should be getting $6, $7. Look at oil: Oil has an economic value. Gas should have an economic value.”
Among the panelists, he said he is probably the oldest. “Back when Ken (Hersh with private-equity firm Natural Gas Partners and fellow presenter) and I started in this business, everyone curtailed when we were in these types of worlds. No one curtails much anymore.”
Some producers, such as Chesapeake Energy Corp., say they’re laying down rigs or that they will next year. “We should be laying down rigs (now). The problem is that the technology John (Moon with Morgan Stanley Private Equity and a fellow presenter) is talking about is coming along and every time (operators are) drilling a well, they’re lowering the cost a little more, so they want to drill some more.
“Or you’ve got international oil companies out here drilling in order to learn how to import that technology to their countries and to other places in the world.”
Meanwhile, “they’re all destroying capital in that part of the business.”
Kayne Anderson does like the economics of oil-shale plays, in which it is invested in California, he says. “But California is a much different world…It’s a very difficult operating area. We have one project that, if we can get the next well down at $2 million less than our first well, then we have 150 drillsites at $8 million a well.
“So I have $1 billion to spend in California, if it works, but I don’t know if I can get it done, can get it down another $2 million.”
–Nissa Darbonne, Editor-at-Large, Oil and Gas Investor, OilandGasInvestor.com, OilandGasInvestor.com Today, Oil and Gas Investor This Week, A&D Watch, A-Dcenter.com, UGcenter.com. Contact Nissa at ndarbonne@hartenergy.com.
Recommended Reading
TechnipFMC Eyes $30B in Subsea Orders by 2025
2024-02-23 - TechnipFMC is capitalizing on an industry shift in spending to offshore projects from land projects.
Flame Acquisition Holders Approve Merger with Sable Offshore
2024-02-14 - The business combination among Flame Acquisition Corp., Sable Offshore Holdings and Sable Offshore Corp. will be renamed Sable Offshore Corp.
From Restructuring to Reinvention, Weatherford Upbeat on Upcycle
2024-02-11 - Weatherford CEO Girish Saligram charts course for growth as the company looks to enter the third year of what appears to be a long upcycle.
NOV's AI, Edge Offerings Find Traction—Despite Crowded Field
2024-02-02 - NOV’s CEO Clay Williams is bullish on the company’s digital future, highlighting value-driven adoption of tech by customers.
Kimmeridge Fast Forwards on SilverBow with Takeover Bid
2024-03-13 - Investment firm Kimmeridge Energy Management, which first asked for additional SilverBow Resources board seats, has followed up with a buyout offer. A deal would make a nearly 1 Bcfe/d Eagle Ford pureplay.