The theory of relativity applies to all things, actually. It’s about what is and isn’t in terms of one’s own perspective — standing still, in motion or both. In the energy industry, at more than $100 oil and strong natural gas prices, relativity is greatly in play. Consider the producer who has hedged much of his production at $80 oil. At the time the deal was struck, it was brilliant. Today, he is writing checks for the difference. Still, it is brilliant at $80. We will soon find out if that producer could make it at $80 for much of his production. Consider too the producer who hedged at $80 and had some production shut in for some reason, and a significant enough amount. That producer is writing checks for what he didn’t even sell. Ouch 2.0x. Another relevant factor in relativity is how pleased producers are with their recent success. Money — both from the equity and debt markets — is being thrown at them. And, they are using it wisely — wisely at $130 oil and $12 natural gas. Deja vu, 1980s. No, this isn’t the 1980s. Most producers are more sophisticated than most were back then, and U.S. oil and gas markets are public now, without government price controls. Nevertheless, there are risks. Some producers — or would-be producers with some money for one idea or another — wouldn’t make it below $100 oil and $8 natural gas. Play smart. Play relative. (This is the first in a series of blogs inspired by reading Walter Isaacson’s Einstein: His Life and Universe.) –Nissa Darbonne, Executive Editor, Oil and Gas Investor, A&D Watch, OilandGasInvestor.com; ndarbonne@hartenergy.com
Recommended Reading
Universities Tackle Crude Pipeline Wax Deposits
2023-09-13 - Teams at the University of Tulsa at University of Texas at Austin are researching flow control options to prevent paraffin deposits in pipelines.
Tech Trends: Following Industry Trends to Navigate Downturn [WATCH]
2023-09-26 - In this episode of Tech Trends, Rock Flow Dynamics talks about navigating the industry downturn and how the company bounced back by following industry trends with both oil and gas extraction and net zero technology.
Tech Trends: Developing Conventional Resources with More Certainty [WATCH]
2023-10-03 - Shearwater's Pearl is an ocean bottom nodal technology optimized for seismic node handling subsea. Find out more in this week's Tech Trends with Hart Energy's Jaxon Caines.
Tech Trends: Premium Gas Lift Tools for Non-premium Applications [WATCH]
2023-11-14 - In this week's Tech Trends, Joel Shaw walks Hart Energy's Jennifer Pallanich through Silverwell's premium gas lift tools and the cost competitive versions that can be customized to customer needs.
Exclusive: Microseismic, Terra15 Bring Optic Fiber Tech to North America [WATCH]
2023-09-15 - In this Hart Energy LIVE Exclusive, Jaxon Caines is with Microseismic and Terra15 to learn about their partnership to bring fiber optic interrogator technology to the North American market and how acoustic sensing can help the oil and gas industry.