LONDON—A worsening global oil demand outlook will prompt OPEC to reverse a planned easing of oil cuts in 2021 with Saudi Arabia offering deeper cuts below its current quota, J.P. Morgan said in a research note.
“Against relatively bearish investor sentiment on the near-term demand outlook as COVID-19 potentially accelerates infections into winter, we highlight the potential for Saudi to drive incremental cuts at the Nov. 30 OPEC meeting,” analysts including Christyan Malek said in a note.
“Our base case is a reversal of the 1.9 million barrels per day output increase slated for 2021 with an upside scenario of a deeper cut whereby Saudi reduces its own quotas even lower (in the event of a worsening demand outlook),” J.P. Morgan said.
Recommended Reading
Yellen Expects Further Sanctions on Iran, Oil Exports Possible Target
2024-04-16 - U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen intends to hit Iran with new sanctions in coming days due to its unprecedented attack on Israel.
Renewed US Sanctions to Complicate Venezuelan Oil Sales, Not Stop Them
2024-04-19 - Venezuela’s oil exports to world markets will not stop, despite reimposed sanctions by Washington, and will likely continue to flow with the help of Iran—as well as China and Russia.
US Decision on Venezuelan License to Dictate Production Flow
2024-04-05 - The outlook for Venezuela’s oil industry appears uncertain, Rystad Energy said April 4 in a research report, as a license issued by the U.S. Office of Assets Control (OFAC) is set to expire on April 18.
US Orders Most Companies to Wind Down Operations in Venezuela by May
2024-04-17 - The U.S. Office of Foreign Assets Control issued a new license related to Venezuela that gives companies until the end of May to wind down operations following a lack of progress on national elections.