Oil prices rose on Nov. 15 and settled higher after news that oil supply to Hungary via the Druzhba oil pipeline has been temporarily suspended due to a fall in pressure.
Brent crude futures rose 72 cents to settle at $93.86/bbl, while WTI crude in the U.S. rose $1.05 to $86.92.
Russia’s state-owned pipeline monopoly Transneft has been notified by Ukraine of the pipeline disruption, the RIA news agency quoted Transneft as saying on Nov. 15.
The United States said it was investigating unconfirmed reports that stray Russian missiles caused an explosion that killed two people in a Polish village near the border with Ukraine.
An EU ban on seaborne Russian crude, set to start on Dec. 5, means that 1.4 million bbl/d must be replaced, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Nov. 15.
“When you look at what we saw from the IEA about global oil inventories, that should be very bullish,” said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group.
Adding support to oil prices, U.S. producer prices increased less than expected in October, more evidence inflation was starting to ease, which could allow the Federal Reserve to slow its aggressive interest rate hikes.
Wall Street indexes rose after the data, while the U.S. dollar index fell, making greenback-denominated oil less expensive for other currency holders.
“The inflation data was positive in a way. Stocks took off from that and it looks like we’re getting dragged higher now,” said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital LLC in New York. “We’re still in that inverse dollar effect here.”
The IEA forecast that a gloomy economic outlook will put global oil use on track to contract by nearly a quarter million bbl/d in the fourth quarter of 2022 year on year, with demand growth slowing to 1.6 million bbl/d in 2023 from 2.1 million bbl/d this year.
In U.S. supply, crude oil stocks were expected to have dropped by about 300,000 barrels in the week to Nov. 11, a Reuters poll showed ahead of reports from the American Petroleum Institute due at 4:30 p.m. ET (2130 GMT) on Nov. 15 and the U.S. Energy Information Administration’s official report due the morning of Nov. 16.
In China, COVID cases rose further, including in the capital Beijing, and the country’s factory output growth slowed.
Investment bank JPMorgan cut its quarterly and full-year forecasts for economic growth in China. OPEC cut its 2022 global oil demand growth forecast for a fifth time since April, citing mounting economic challenges including high inflation and rising interest rates.
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