Oil prices fell over 3% on Dec. 5, following U.S. stock markets lower, after U.S. service sector data raised worries that the Federal Reserve could continue its aggressive policy tightening path.
Brent crude futures LCOc1 settled down $2.89, or 3.4%%, at $82.68 a barrel. WTI CLc1 fell $3.05, or 3.8%, to $76.93 a barrel. Both benchmarks had earlier risen more than $2, before reversing direction.
During the session, WTI's front-month contract began trading lower than prices in half a year CLc1-CLc7, a market structure called contango, which implies oversupply.
U.S. services industry activity unexpectedly picked up in November, with employment rebounding, offering more evidence of underlying momentum in the economy as it braces for an anticipated recession next year.
The news caused oil and stock markets to pare gains.
The data challenges hopes that the Fed might slow the pace and intensity of its rate hikes amid recent signs of ebbing inflation.
"Macro-economic jitters about the Fed and what they're going to do on interest rates are taking over the market," said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures group.
Supporting the market earlier, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies including Russia, together called OPEC+, agreed on Dec. 4 to stick to their October plan to cut output by 2 MMbbl/d from November through 2023.
"The decision...is not a surprise, given the uncertainty in the market over the impact of the Dec. 5 EU Russia crude oil import ban and the G7 price cap," said Ann-Louise Hittle, vice president of consultancy Wood Mackenzie.
"In addition, the producers’ group faces downside risk from the potential for weakening global economic growth and China’s zero COVID policy."
The Group of Seven (G7) countries and Australia last week agreed on a $60 a barrel price cap on seaborne Russian oil.
However, the price cap's effect on the futures market during Monday's session ran out of steam by the end of the day, said Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates in Houston.
"The market has realized that the EU is already banning the purchase of Russian oil with a few limited exemptions, and China and India are going to continue and purchase Russian crude oil, so the impact of the price cap will be mitigated," Lipow said.
At the same time, in a positive sign for fuel demand in the world's top oil importer, more Chinese cities eased COVID curbs over the weekend.
Business and manufacturing activity in China, the world's second-largest economy, have been hit this year by strict measures to curb the spread of the coronavirus.
Recommended Reading
EnCap Upsizes Double Eagle Equity Commitment to $2.3 Billion
2023-01-30 - The upsized equity commitment and establishment of an RBL come as Double Eagle ramps up its development pace in the Permian Basin, including the recent addition of two drilling rigs.
E&P Highlights: Dec. 30, 2022
2022-12-30 - Here’s a roundup of the latest E&P headlines, including a field start up and a well drilled to a basin with record depth from the past week in the upstream oil and gas industry.
Moody’s: Upstream Capex to Rise 10% to 15% in 2023
2023-01-11 - Moody’s Investor Service is forecasting a 10% to 15% sequential uptick in upstream capex in 2023 and an overall strong year for the sector, with service companies likely to see increased demand for their services.
Bud Brigham's OFS Firm Atlas Energy Files for IPO
2023-02-01 - Atlas Energy, based in Austin, Texas, was reported last year to be preparing for a public listing that could value it at between $2 billion and $3 billion, including debt.
UK Says Baker Hughes-Altus Deal May Hurt OFS Competition
2022-11-22 - The regulator said Baker Hughes and Altus have five working days to submit proposals to address its concerns, otherwise the watchdog will refer the deal to an in-depth Phase 2 probe.