For Kinder Morgan, the proof of increasing natural gas demand is in the pudding.
Kinder Morgan (KMI) discussed the need for natural gas capacity at its second-quarter earnings call on July 17, declaring a successful open season on a Southeast U.S. pipeline and plans to move forward on an oil-to-gas pipeline conversion in the Williston Basin.
“I'm a firm believer in anecdotal evidence, particularly when it comes from the actual users of that power and the utilities who will supply it, and from the regulators who have to make sure that the need gets satisfied,” said KMI Executive Chairman Rich Kinder during the earnings call. “And the anecdotal evidence over the last few months has been jaw-dropping.”
Kinder referred to bullish expectations in natural gas demand for a massive number of data centers analysts expect will be built by the end of the decade, as well as a forecast of LNG exports doubling over the next five years.
KMI held a binding open season that ended July 12 on the proposed South System Expansion 4 (SSE4) project, designed to add 1.2 Bcf/d to the Southern Natural Gas Line South Line in the Southeast U.S. Kinder said the season was successful and would help meet a growing need for natural gas in region.
Kinder Morgan expects to spend about $3 billion on the project, which is projected to begin service in 2028.
In the Williston Basin, which encompasses part of the Dakotas, Montana and Canada, KMI plans to convert its Double H Pipeline system from a crude to an NGL line. The project is estimated to cost about $150 million and will go into service in 2026.
But while the company builds for future gas demand, the current market continues to show weakness. Natural gas prices at the Henry Hub started the second quarter below $2/MMBtu. The price had a small rally in May, but spent the majority of the quarter under $3/MMBtu.
The weak prices ate into the company’s earnings, according to analysts.
The company’s second-quarter adjusted EBITDA came in at approximately $1.89 billion. Prior to the announcement, the average Wall Street estimate was about $1.91 billion.
“Lower earnings from KMI’s natural gas pipelines segment accounted for the miss, with segment EBDA missing our estimate by -$106MM,” wrote TPH&Co.’s Zack Van Everen in a July 18 report. TPH had forecast $1.33 billion, while the actual amount was $1.23 billion.
Traffic on the company’s pipelines remained flat year-over-year, while G&P volumes were up 10%. Core profits from natural gas lines totaled $2.5 billion, 2.5% higher than last year. However, adjusted core profits from the company’s CO2 transport fell by 6.3%, or $164 million, compared to second-quarter 2023.
Recommended Reading
Helmerich & Payne Seals $1.97B Deal for KCA Deutag
2025-01-16 - Helmerich & Payne has completed its acquisition of KCA Deutag International Ltd. as it positions itself as a global onshore drilling powerhouse.
GridStor Acquires Battery Storage Project from Black Mountain
2025-01-16 - GridStor’s acquisition of the battery energy storage project in Oklahoma from Black Mountain Energy Storage comes amid a need for new power resources to support the region’s electric system reliability.
Green Lantern Sells Vermont Solar Project to Sea Oak Capital
2025-01-15 - Green Lantern Solar’s 500-kW Brighton Solar project is sited on the closed portion of an operating family-owned gravel operation.
Report: Will Civitas Sell D-J Basin, Buy Permian’s Double Eagle?
2025-01-15 - Civitas Resources could potentially sell its legacy Colorado position and buy more assets in the Permian Basin— possibly Double Eagle’s much-coveted position, according to analysts and media reports.
Amplify to Add D-J, Powder River Assets in Merger Agreement with Juniper Capital
2025-01-15 - Amplify Energy Corp. is combining with certain Juniper Capital portfolio companies in a merger agreement that adds 287,000 acres in the Denver-Julesburg and Powder River basins.
Comments
Add new comment
This conversation is moderated according to Hart Energy community rules. Please read the rules before joining the discussion. If you’re experiencing any technical problems, please contact our customer care team.