Permian Resources is capping off its first year in operation with a $4.5 billion deal to acquire Earthstone Energy, adding even more scale in the northern Delaware Basin.
Midland-based Permian Resources Corp.—formed through the combination of Centennial Resource Development Inc. and Colgate Energy Partners III LLC in September 2022—is growing its Permian Basin footprint by around 223,000 net acres by scooping up The Woodlands-based Earthstone.
On a pro forma basis, the combined company will have more than 400,000 net acres and approximately 300,000 boe/d in the Permian.
The $4.5 billion transaction, which includes Earthstone’s net debt, also adds about 56,000 net acres largely contiguous with Permian Resources’ footprint in the northern Delaware Basin.
The deal also includes Earthstone’s position in the Permian’s Midland Basin, but nearly all of Permian Resources capital spending will be directed into the Delaware.
Permian Resources and Earthstone are currently operating 11 drilling rigs in aggregate across the Permian Basin; Nine of those rigs are operating in the Delaware, Permian Resources co-CEO Will Hickey said during an Aug. 21 conference call with analysts.
Once combined, the company plans to move at least one of Earthstone’s Midland rigs into the Delaware. Next year, Permian Resources intends to deploy 90% of its capital spending into projects in the Delaware—particularly into Lea and Eddy counties, New Mexico, and Reeves and Ward counties, Texas.
“This is a Delaware Basin company,” Permian Resources co-CEO James Walter said on the call. “That’s how we think about the focus going forward.”
After the combination—and after Earthstone sells its final chunks of acreage in the Eagle Ford Shale—Permian Resources will be the third-largest pure-play Permian E&P behind Pioneer Natural Resources and Diamondback Energy, according to Enverus Intelligence Research Director Andrew Dittmar.
“Given the ramp up in the valuations in private equity assets over the last year, public company M&A is starting to look like a more attractive proposition for buyers to build scale versus targeting private equity deals,” Dittmar wrote in an Aug. 21 report.
Analysts at TD Cowen said with the additional scale, Permian Resources itself is still well-positioned for an eventual sale to a larger operator.
Monetizing the Midland
As Permian Resources prioritizes investment in the Delaware Basin, the combined company intends to continue tapping Earthstone’s Midland Basin production in the near term.
“We like that Midland Basin asset for the free cash flow that it spits off,” Walter said. “That asset’s a free cash flow machine.”
Near term, Permian Resources plans to let the Midland asset decline under a one-rig program. Free cash flow generated from the Midland Basin will be reinvested into projects in the Delaware with higher returns.
But over time, there could be opportunities for Permian Resources to explore strategic alternatives for the Midland Basin asset.
“That’s not something we’re doing at the present time or plan to do so immediately,” Walter said. “But I think over time, we’d obviously explore if there’s ways to extract additional value from the Midland Basin.”
“The [Midland] assets were acquired at near PDP value and given our constructive view on pricing we believe a potential sale could be accretive,” Gabriele Sorbara, managing director of equity research at Siebert Williams Shank & Co. LLC, wrote in an Aug. 21 report.
Earthstone is currently shopping other portions of its portfolio: The company aims to sell off its final Eagle Ford acreage in Karnes and Gonzales counties, Texas, according to marketing materials from Opportune Partners LLC.
A sale in South Texas would represent a full exit of the Eagle Ford play for Earthstone.
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